On June 25, Dr. Giorgi Khishtovani, Director at PMC Research, participated in the German EU Pre-Presidency Conference entitled “Shaping the Future of Europe,” which was dedicated to debating current EU issues, and was organized by the Trans European Policy Studies Association (TEPSA) and the Institute for European Politics (IEP).
The conference brought together high-level experts and representatives of civil society who covered topics such as the EU after Brexit, the European Green Deal, enlargement policy and social policy, institutional reforms as part of COVID-19 crisis management, migration policy, and the EU’s external relations.
During the conference, Dr. Khishtovani discussed EU-Georgia economic relations under the panel “EU Enlargement and Neighborhood Policy,” with the specific attention paid to the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA), as it serves as an excellent opportunity for the country to integrate economically with Europe.
“Georgia's economy is not competitive enough to fully enjoy the benefits of the DCFTA. Hence, further structural reforms are required to make Georgian goods and services more accessible on the EU-market, while at the same time more political integration is also necessary,” said Dr. Khishtovani.
PMCG recently started a new EU Framework project, providing technical assistance to the process of implementing a roadmap for engagement with civil society in Bolivia, as part of a consortium led by Business & Strategies in Europe (B&S).
We are currently in the process of conducting a final evaluation of the EU-funded project entitled "Water for the Poor," which aimed to protect and promote the right to health and to adequate living standards of citizens in vulnerable multi-ethnic rural communities of Kakheti and Kvemo Kartli regions of Georgia, and has been implemented by Caucasus Environmental NGO Network (CENN).
PMCG, as a local sub-contractor of Abt Britain Limited, is supporting the Government of Georgia by developing a draft strategy for a vibrant leasing industry, which will serve as a tool supporting the growth of micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), and stimulating fixed capital formation in the country under the Technical Assistance Facility Eastern Partnership (TAF EP), which is a part of the Good Governance Fund (GGF) program implementation mechanism, funded with UK aid from the UK Government.
PMCG, as a local sub-contractor of Abt Britain Limited, is conducting comprehensive analysis of state support programs and providing evidence-based recommendations for their modernization in order to enhance competitiveness and diversification of the micro, small, and medium enterprise (MSME) sector in Georgia, under the Technical Assistance Facility Eastern Partnership (TAF EP), which is a part of the Good Governance Fund (GGF) program implementation mechanism, funded with UK aid from the UK Government.
PMCG was recently selected to implement a new project to support the Government of Egypt’s Public Finance Management (PFM) reforms. Funded by the EU, the project will be implemented by PMCG in a consortium led by ADE.
International rankings and indicators help us to understand and assess how countries are performing in different areas. In this bulletin, Georgia’s positions in international rankings and their dynamics are reviewed based on recent data, and these are also compared to other Eastern Partnership (EaP) countries (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Moldova, Ukraine, and Belarus).
The spread of COVID-19 has resulted in a global pandemic, followed by an abrupt economic crisis due to the necessary measures taken to reduce infection and death rates. In this bulletin, we focus on the countries of the Black Sea region, specifically their preparedness for an economic crisis and their actual economic performance during the pandemic, before presenting forecasts for 2021.
In Q1-Q3 of 2020, total trade turnover in Ukraine amounted to 72.8 bln USD, which is a 6.9 bln (9%) decrease, compared to the corresponding period of 2019; In Q1-Q3 of 2020, Ukrainian exports decreased by 6% compared to the corresponding period of 2019, while Ukrainian imports dropped by 11%; In Q1-Q3 of 2020, Ukraine’s trade deficit amounted to 2.98 bln USD, which is 2.6 bln USD (47%) decrease compared to the corresponding period of 2019; In Q1-Q3 of 2020, the main export partners were China, Poland and Russia, with shares in total export volume of 13.8%, 6.7% and 5.8% respectively. The main import partners were China (15.3% of total imports), Germany (10.2%) and Russia (8.8%).
The number of international travelers declined by 93.1% in November compared to the same period of 2019, while the number of international visitors fell by 91.6% and the number of international tourists fell by 88.3%; The price changes in Adjara and Guria are the most representative of tourism’s decline. In November 2020, the year over year Hotel Price Index decreased by 45.8% in Guria and by 28.5% in Adjara. Hotel prices in other regions do not provide an accurate guidance of the situation in accommodation market due to the COVID-19 pandemic; The number of visits by domestic visitors in the third quarter of 2020 (Q3 of 2020) has declined by 5.6%, compared to the same period of 2019; The number of visits with the purpose of visiting friends or relatives has declined the most in Q3 of 2020, compared to the corresponding figure in 2019, having declined by 19.8%. Whereas, the number of visits with the purpose of visiting another house (cottage, etc.) has increased by 45.4% in Q3 of 2020, compared to Q3 of 2019. Perhaps, the main reason for these changes in the structure of the visit purpose is existing fears of traveling caused by the ongoing pandemic.
In Georgia, the average cost of a room in a 3-star hotel was 113 GEL per night in November 2020, while the average cost of a room in a 4-star hotel in Georgia was 176 GEL per night and the average cost of a room in a guesthouse was 67 GEL per night.
This study analyzes the reasons behind citizens’ refusal to participate in public deliberation through the General Assembly of a Settlement mechanism in remote communities of Georgia.
The COVID-19 pandemic, and the ensuing economic shock, has prompted governments all around the globe to act swiftly and decisively to mitigate the health and economic impacts of the crisis. Each country has responded in its way, and it is useful to look at these different responses to identify good practices. In this issue, we will be looking at the case studies of Ukraine, Georgia, and Albania, including an analysis of the fiscal measures these countries have taken and an overview of the economic forecasts for 2020 and 2021.
The number of international visitors declined by 92.9% in October compared to the same period of 2019, and the number of international tourists fell by 90%. Georgia experienced a fall of at least 90% in the number of foreign arrivals every month since April 2020, compared to the corresponding period of 2019; The price changes in Adjara and Guria are the most representative of tourism’s decline. In October 2020, the year over year Hotel Price Index decreased by 51% in Guria and by 27.2% in Adjara; The number of international visits to Georgia grew significantly over the period of 2015 to 2019, and this growth was mostly attributable to an increase in the number of visits for holiday, leisure and recreation purposes. However, due to safety concerns arising from the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of visits in this category has been declining significantly, and this trend is likely to continue for the foreseeable future; The number of business or professional visits, despite contributing only a modest share of the total visits, also registered significant growth, as it grew by an average of 11% year-on-year from 2015 to 2019.
In Georgia, the average cost of a room in a 3-star hotel was 120 GEL per night in October 2020, while the average cost of a room in a 4-star hotel in Georgia was 211 GEL per night and the average cost of a room in a guesthouse was 67 GEL per night. The average cost of a room in a 5-star hotel in Georgia in October 2020 was 387 GEL per night. In Tbilisi, the average price was 454 GEL, followed by Guria - 432 GEL, Samtskhe-Javakheti - 424 GEL and Kakheti – 395 GEL.
“The Great Lockdown”, referring to the period in which COVID-19 containment measures were put in place worldwide, has had a significant toll on the global economy. In the specific case of Ukraine, even though the country entered the crisis in better macroeconomic condition than in previous global crisis in 2008, its economy is still expected to be hit hard. In this issue, we provide an overview of the impacts of the ongoing pandemic on the Ukrainian economy that are already visible and try to supply an economic forecast for the country for the remainder of 2020 and for 2021, looking at the performance of each economic sector in the process.